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5 June, 2000

Inquiries: Mr Pertti Kangassalo +358 9 1734 3598, pertti.kangassalo@stat.fi
Director in charge: Mr Markku Suur-Kujala

Finnish consumers' confidence in the economy unchanged

In May, 35 per cent of Finnish consumers expected that the country's economic situation would improve further in the next 12 months. Twenty-nine per cent of consumers were confident that their own economy would improve. Salaried employees had the most confidence in the economy, pensioners the least. In May, the consumer confidence indicator was 14.0, or almost the same as in April or a year ago. The data are based on Statistics Finland's Consumer Survey, for which 1,619 persons resident in Finland were interviewed between 2 and 18 May.

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Consumer views on economic and financial conditions in Finland in May 2000

May 2000

balance

April 2000

balance

May 1999*

balance

Consumer confidence indicator

14.0

13.5

13.9

Economic situation of households in 12 months' time

11.2

10.6

9.9

General economic situation in 12 months' time

10.3

10.8

12.0

Unemployment in 12 months' time

-15.0

-17.1

-20.5

Price trend over the next 12 months, %

2.7

2.6

1.6

Financial situation of households at present

24.8

26.0

20.5

Favourable time to make major purchases at present

18.8

15.0

25.0

Favourable time to save at present

11.8

14.9

-4.2

Favourable time to raise a loan at present

15.4

20.8

36.9

The balance figures are obtained by deducting the weighted proportion of negative answers from that of positive answers. The negative balance figure for unemployment means that unemployment is estimated to go down. The consumer confidence indicator is the average of the balance figures for the following questions: Finland's past and future economic development, past and future economic development of the respondent's own household, and whether it was a favourable time to make major purchases at present. The balance figures and the confidence indicator can range between -100 and 100.

* The data collection method for the Survey changed from January 2000, for which reason older data are not fully comparable.

Regardless of good economic outlooks, fewer than before, or 45 per cent of consumers believed that unemployment would decline in the next 12 months. In addition, consumers estimated that inflation would be 2.7 per cent in May 2001.

In May, 61 per cent of consumers considered the time favourable for saving. Sixty-eight per cent of households were confident they would be able to lay aside some money in the next 12 months and 22 per cent of households intended to invest money in quoted shares or other securities.
Thirteen per cent of households intended to take part in various insurance savings schemes.

Sixty-four per cent of consumers viewed the time favourable for raising a loan and 14 per cent of households planned to do so in the next 12 months, but only very few intended to use loan money for purchasing securities.

In May, 45 per cent of consumers considered the time favourable for making major purchases, and households' consumption intentions were still strong. Eleven per cent of households intended to buy a car in the next six months and 6 per cent were thinking of buying a dwelling in the next
12 months.

Source: Consumer Survey 2000, May. Statistics Finland