SISU microsimulation model

The SISU microsimulation model is a calculation tool intended for the planning, monitoring and assessing of personal taxation and social security legislation. It models the Finnish personal taxation and social security system.

The results produced with the SISU model are used, for example, in estimating tax revenue and social security expenditure, examining the financial position of citizens and households, and studying income differentials and incentive effects.

Features of the SISU microsimulation model

The SISU model is a static microsimulation model. A static model does not take into consideration any possible behavioural effects due to legal reforms (e.g. labour supply) or long-term dynamics. A static simulation model is thus suitable for assessing the immediate effects of different policy alternatives.

Simulated calculations and dataset simulation

The model can be used for both dataset simulation and simulated calculation. Simulated calculations can be used to simulate certain types of persons or households generated by the user by calculating taxes, benefits and disposable income for them. With simulated calculations, the operation of the income transfer and taxation systems can be described easily and fast, for example, by simulating a person's net income after a certain legislative amendment.

However, the results of simulated calculations cannot be generalised to a larger part of the population or the whole population. For this purpose, dataset simulation is used, where calculations are made on individual-level sample data representing the whole population. It can be used to calculate the effects of legislative amendments or measures made to the taxation and income transfer system on income distribution and on the financial position of different population groups and the entire public finance.

What is microsimulation?

Microsimulation models can use individual-level sample data representing the whole population to calculate the combined effects of legislative amendments for both different types of households and the population as a whole. The models are used for

  • estimating tax revenue in the public sector
  • examining the financial position of citizens and households
  • to study income differentials and incentive effects.

Microsimulation models have been used in Finland already for a long time in the preparation of social security benefit and income tax legislation.

Contact information