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Official Statistics of Finland

Population projection

Producer: Statistics Finland

Latest release:
Birth rate in Finland is not sufficiently high for the age structure
30 Sep 2021
According to Statistics Finlands latest population projection, 700,000 more people would die than be born in Finland by the end of 2060 if the birth rate remained at the level observed now. In the 2060s, only under 40,000 children would be born in Finland per year. In the long term, the birth rate is not sustainable in terms of the age structure.

Description: Population projections describe future population developments. Statistics Finland’ population projections are so-called demographic trend calculations, which calculate the future population for a given area assuming that the development that has taken place in its population in recent years continues unchanged. A by-product of projection calculations by municipality is a so-called self-sufficiency estimate, which describes how the population would develop if there was no migration.
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Keywords: birth rate, forecasting, increase of population, migration, mortality, natality, population, population changes, population projections, projections, vital statistics.
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Change: New population projection will be published in November: data on the level of the whole country
15 Oct 2018
Statistics Finland will publish the new population projection on 16 November 2018.

Referencing instructions:

Official Statistics of Finland (OSF): Population projection [e-publication].
ISSN=1798-5153. Helsinki: Statistics Finland [referred: 22.6.2024].
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